期指主力分歧增大
作者:赵晶  2019/9/15 20:23:56  来源:原创  浏览:454

上周A股呈现温和上涨走势,上证指数自3000点一线涨至3030点附近,最终报收3031.24点。期指三个品种继续上扬,其中IC表现突出,主力合约涨幅超过2%,IF及IH则涨幅相当,主力合约分别上涨0.86%和0.87%。基差方面,由于走势各有不同,IC贴水较前一周略有收窄,主力合约贴水2.4点,IF及IH升水幅度则双双减小,主力合约分别升水4.4点和1.2点。

总持仓方面,上周期指持仓小幅回落,三个品种当周共计减仓4439手,总持仓降至337970手。不过,期指三个品种持仓则呈现增减各异的情况。其中IF减仓1531手,持仓降至123287手;IH则增仓934手,持仓升至6万手之上;IC减仓3842手,持仓降至154481手。

主力持仓方面,受到假期因素影响,部分品种主力节前减仓迹象明显。IH多空主力双双减仓,多头减4415手,空头减3767手,净空持仓升至4490手;与IH类似,IC主力持仓也出现明显下滑,其中多头减1270手,空头减833手,净空持仓升至11673手;三个品种中仅有IF主力持仓继续增加,多头增1589手,空头增3556手,净空持仓升至5852手。

具体席位方面,伴随指数持续走高,市场分歧逐步增大。以IF为例,多数席位持仓均有显著增加。多头方面,中信期货多头增仓300余手,净多持仓增至4498手,位列所有席位第一,同时东吴期货多头大幅增仓近2600手,净多持仓升至3732手,此外广发及一德期货等席位多头持仓也有不同程度回升。空头方面,东证期货空头增仓877手,净空持仓升至2973手,华泰期货空头增仓1000余手,净空持仓升至2646手,海通期货空头增仓1400余手,净空持仓自1283手增至2403手,增幅将近100%,此外五矿经易期货等席位空头也有一定程度增仓。

图为IF多空主力持仓

总体来说,节前部分资金减仓离场,期指持仓出现回落,但指数高位运行的同时多空主力资金增仓态势也较为明显。预计期指短期上行阻力增大,涨势将有所放缓。

                                    (作者单位:永安期货)


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